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Ladder Predictor
Start of the season always brings Max Laughton’s great work over at fox on the ladder prediction. Rather than selecting a winner and loser for each match through the season, Max uses a win % for each game to calculate projected wins. This makes a lot of sense. A team like Brisbane might go into…
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That’s ruck craft, big boy
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I’ve always liked rucks. I’m a firm believer that one of the best things a team can do for its marketability is having a really tall guy who stands out in looks and play. My kids are currently Max Gawn supporters first and Melbourne supporters second. As a Melbourne supporter approaching 40 I feel like…
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The thin dotted line
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This article was originally published on ThisWeekInFootball.com Player contracts have obviously been in the news a lot lately, particularly in the wake of Melbourne signing Kysaiah Pickett to the end of 2034. Using Footywire’s database of contract status I thought it would be interesting to look at how each list shapes up in terms of…
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Goal kicking isn’t one of the most under-rated stats, but it’s maybe one of the most poorly analysed
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This article was originally published on ThisWeekInFootball.com This article makes heavy use of the excellent wheeloratings.com by Andrew Whelan for this piece (and many other pieces). If you’re not familiar you should go have a look, it surfaces a lot of things that will help you understand the game far better than official league stat…
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Clang a gong, we are on
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This piece was originally published on ThisWeekInFootball.com Last week I wrote about the three-year clangiversary of Hawthorn setting the record for most clangers in a match. I wanted to provide a bit of a broader overview of the clanger. We have data on clangers going back to 1998. Ted Hopkins, who co-founded Champion Data, is…
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Before hokball there was hackball – when the Hawks set the record for most clangers in a match
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3 years ago today (5/6/2022) Hawthorn achieved a mighty feat – posting a record 93 clangers in their round 12 clash against Collingwood. As it turns out this was a pretty costly time to do it, as they wound up losing by a mere points. Let’s revisit that messy match on its clangiversary. 48 of…
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15 years ago today – The miracle in mud?
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15 years ago today, 29/05/2010 saw Damian Hardwick record his first win as senior coach. Richmond came into the match 0-9, anchored to the bottom of the ladder with an average losing margin of 9 goals. Port Adelaide were playing at home with a respectable 5-4 and currently sat in the top 8. Sometimes however…
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Draft pick and mix
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This article originally appeared at This Week In Football. Draft picks are one of the primary resources available to an AFL club – maximising them can lead to dynasties, whiffing on them can leave a club in a very dark place. Our first chart looks at each top 10 pick from the last 10 drafts.…
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Marking Out
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This post originally appeared on This Week In Football. Just a snapshot from me this week, but one I intend to build on as the season goes. Reading through James’ analysis of Melbourne’s forward entries last week put F50 marking opportunities even more front of mind for me than it has been for the last…
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Showdowns and letdowns
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Sometimes it’s fun to just light some fires. What better way to do that than to attempt to rank the marquee games in the AFL fixture (and before that, annoy people just by deciding which games get included in the rankings to begin with). My list of marquee games is as follows: Round One –…